DIJON – MARSEILLE PREDICTION (09.12.2016)

• in Ligue 1, Predictions

THEREFORE YOU MUST PLAY THE

Dijon have problems with defensive (*) – 11 goals against in the last five matches – and form strong offensively (9 goals scored).
The last 2 matches have good combative Dijon made great comebacks. Recently even 10 against 11 for an hour: Was down 1-3 and was 3-3 in Caen.
Here were the attackers Tavares and Diony excellent. While the defense and midfield was very little waste of enterprise regarding stopping Caen attacks, even before the expulsion.
The small leftist ball lightning Sammaritano was spared from the start against Caen after playing nice and scored against Monaco a few days before. Starter enough.
Dijon-left back Moutou has quarantined after deportation against Caen. The stabilizing midfielder Balmont man is still down (since 16/10).
All in Marseilles attack chain, Thauvin, Gomis and Njie, played great and scored in last weekend at home to Nancy. Should give them clergy.
Marseille offensive also ran well in the last away game, in Saint-Etienne, but the efficiency was lacking (0-0). It was then corrected against Nancy.
Marseille (7 goals against in the last 3 away games) still without left-back Bedimo. Replaces Hubocan fluctuates (but good to Nancy) and is not as fast.

BEFORE YOU KEEP AN EYE ON

It was only 1-1 in last Dijon home match against Monaco (especially the home team ought to have scored more – the chances were there).
Unlike his defense was Dijon goalkeeper Reynet strong against Caen last week.
Marseille has kept goal 2 games in a row (and scored the third goal against Nancy after the team got red card in 83 minutes).
Before Nancy had Marseille some efficiency problems, despite trænerhyring of offensive competent Garcia: 6 league games with only 2 goals in total.
For the second match in a row must Marseille without creative Cabella (fast Njie was a good substitute on the left wing against Nancy).
Marseille must also still be without midfielder General Diarra (third fight in a row). It is debatable whether it is the worst for defensive or offensive.
Marseille has a ligacup match against L2 club Sochaux on Tuesday (I do not think it plays into here).

Argument points in italics: The elements I mean oddssætterne / market especially miss / error estimates.

(*) In fact, Dijon the Ligue 1 team that allows the second most intrusive terminations at home (only medoprykker Metz is worse).

the odds

Find the game at Bet365: Click here to go to the match -> Goals – Asian -> Over 2.5 -> odds 2,025

Note: Ordinary “goal over / under” 2.5 allows only odds 1.95 Bet365 – although it is actually the same game

Also value: 2.02 at 888sport, Unibet and Jetbull

Odds Development: Jetbull has been 2.06 – since it has gone up and down between 1.99 and 2.02

Market Overview: A leading licensløs bookmaker has 2.02 (opened at 2.07)

1X2

Come to the input. Large Club Marseille must be favorite against a club gained promotion, but is away and yet to demonstrate stability. And Dijon is so stubborn …

Our prediction:

Prediction:	over 2,5 goals
Odds:	2,10
Bookmaker:
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