After the Spanish team had already in the Copa del Rey ran this week, it goes on weekends also in La Liga. On Saturday it will be a duel between Eibar and Atletico Madrid. In the name, the Madrilenians are the favorites here. But Eibar has been so angry this season – especially at home.
Eibar is really good at this season. In La Liga, the team has a 6-5-5 record on eighth place and has five points behind the Europa League qualifying place six, on which the upcoming opponent Atletico Madrid stands. In the Spanish Cup, too, the club is in the quarter-finals with one-and-a-half legs. On Tuesday, Eibar’s 3-0 win over the first leg of Ligakonkurrent Osasuna, Eibar abroad is actually not so strong. In La Liga the team has a 1-3-4 away performance. At home Eibar is hard to beat. In eight games so far, only one team managed to take three points from Eibar. And that was Osasuna! Not because the two teams face the Copa del Rey in the last 16, but because Osasuna is the last one in La Liga and the only victory in sixteen league games ever. Especially annoying for Eibar, who otherwise won five games at home and played twice. Overall the team has been unbeaten for four games, but the last two games were in the Spanish Cup. In La Liga, on the other hand, Eibar only won two points from the last three games.
Atletico Madrid also had to go to the Copa del Rey on Tuesday. Just like Eibar, Atleti played away and had Las Palmas also a league opponent to their opponents. Atletico Madrid ended with a 2-0 win and almost as secure as Eibar in the next round. The team is also one round in the Champions League after being able to get through as a group leader before Bayern. And yet the atmosphere in the Atletico Madrid camp is not the best, as the team in La Liga is only sixth. The championship is almost as good as nine points behind Real Madrid, who also has a game less. For Atletico Madrid, the fight for a Champions League place will remain until the end of the season. Above all, the showpiece of Atletico Madrid, the defensive, does not seem to function quite as well as you are accustomed to. Although only fourteen conceding goals in sixteen matches are still in the game, Atletico Madrid conceded only eighteen goals in 38 games in the last La Liga season. And that’s just a difference. Atletico Madrid is also no longer the best defense in Spain. Real Madrid have also fourteen conceding goals (after fifteen games), while Villarreal has only conceded eleven goals in sixteen games.
At Atletico Madrid, I feel this season that you do not really know what the team is all about. Surely the successes are there, but they are not always really exhilarating. In six Champions League group games, for example, there were five victories, four of which were just 1: 0. Even in La Liga they were not even half of the games already four failures, while in the last season, there were only six. Therefore, I would be careful with betting on Atletico, although there are good odds. A tip on away win gives up bets of up to 1.80.
I trust in this game but a little on the previous home appearances of Eibar. The team have scored at home against Alaves in the home away from home. This should also be possible against Atletico Madrid, where the goalkeeper Jan Oblak has been missing for a long time. In the offensive of the Madrid, however, of course, the guests also have to be given a goal.