FC Porto – Guimaraes : Preview & Prediction
Porto and Vitoria de Guimarães play at Estádio Do Dragão, in a duel of the 17th round of Liga Sagres. The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the home team, which in the last 5 matches has won 5. Actually, in the last match at this stage, for the Portuguese Cup on 14-12-2017 Porto won by (4- 0). The goals of Porto were scored by V. Aboubakar (12 ‘), André André (64’ and 83 ‘) and Danilo Pereira (58’). In this match the house factor may play a decisive role, as Vitoria de Guimarães has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.
Port Analysis
The home team is currently in 1st place with 42 points earned after 13 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, he won at home to the Marítimo by (3-1). In the last match, he won out to Feirense by (1-2). This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss as a visitor; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium.
In this competition, he has not lost 16 matches. His attack has scored regularly, as he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home games there is a tendency towards goals, since 6 of his last 8 games by the competition finished with More of 2.5 goals. This is a team that scores many times first: opened the scoring in 14 of their last 16 games for the Liga Sagres, of these 14 reached the interval in advantage in 10 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 13.
Porto come to this game with a difficult victory over Feirense, thus maintaining the leadership of the Portuguese first division. With a draw between the rivals, the Dragons managed to increase the advantage to two points of the second. In this game in front of his fans coach Sérgio Conceição must opt for a very offensive strategy, with his lines advanced from the middle of the field, exploiting thus the defensive difficulties of the opponent. It is important to highlight the excellent moment of the offensive Vincent Aboubakar: 13 goals in 16 games played. For this game the coach can not count on Filipe, suspended, besides Otávio, injured.
Analysis of Vitoria de Guimarães
After 7 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, the visiting team is in 7th place, having won 23 points. In the last match, he lost with Tondela at home (0-1), after having lost in the previous match in a match against Moreirense (2-1). This is a stronger team when playing in his stadium, because in the last 30 games he has 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in his stadium. The team arrives in this match after a draw with Moreirense by (3-3). In the league, Vitoria de Guimarães won 10 points in 24 chances, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 8 games they played as a visitor. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 8 times and never managed to turn the board.
The season of Vitória de Guimarães has not been very easy and at this moment is already far removed from the first four positions. In the last game for the championship, the Victorian team added a poor result at home to lose to Tondela 0-1. In this difficult game, the coach Pedro Martins should keep the team in 4-3-3, benefitting from the defensive line and the counter-attacks on the wings. The Brazilian Raphinha is the best finisher of Vitória de Guimarães with 9 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on injured Wakaso, Celis and Pedro Henriques.
FC Porto – Guimaraes : Betting Tips
FC Porto – Win Odds: 1.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70
