Flamengo RJ – Fluminense: Preview & Prediction
After several changes of venue, the duel between Fluminense and Flamengo for the thirtieth round of the Brasileirão in its 2016 edition was scheduled for Thursday, October 13, starting at 9 pm (Brasília time) at the Raulino de Oliveira stadium in Volta Round.
The comings and goings ended up helping the Rubro-negro, who probably could not count on his athletes surrendered for the 2018 World Cup qualifier in Russia if the starting date for the match was maintained, which was Wednesday , October 12th.
The Tricolor das Laranjeiras carried a bucket of cold water in the twenty-ninth round. After three consecutive victories, he lost the opportunity to take fourth place by beating Santos 2-1 at Vila Belmiro. Although the result can be considered within normality, practically ended the chances of Fluminense aiming for a position in the elite block. Staying in the top three places means securing a place in the group stage of the 2017 Copa Libertadores.
With 46 points (13 wins, seven draws and nine defeats), the tricolors now seem to have to settle for a position between fourth and sixth, which forces the team to play in the qualifying round, from knockout, position in the group stage of the Libertadores. Fluminense is in fifth place, two points clear of Botafogo, seventh.
With the midfielder Cícero and midfielder Marquinho acquitted in the judgment of the STJD (Superior Court of Justice of Sport) for the criticism of the referee in the case of the first and expulsion of the second in the match against Corinthians for the Copa do Brasil, coach Levir Culpi has all the options to scale the team. That includes goalkeeper Diego Cavalieri, recovered from injury. The good performances of Julius Caesar, who replaced him, can cause the reserve to become the holder. It depends on the decision of the coach, who has not yet advanced his position.
The red-black coach Zé Ricardo depends on some variables to define the team. Goalkeeper Alex Muralha, who became the absolute starter of the team, has been called to serve the Brazilian national team in the qualifiers for the 2018 Russian World Cup. It will have to be evaluated after a trip from Venezuela to Rio de Janeiro, but the trend is that is scaled with Paulo Vitor following for the reserve.
The same situation involves the Peruvian striker Paolo Guerrero. Unlike the goalkeeper, however, he is the holder of his selection and the expectation is that he returns in worse physical conditions. If this hypothesis is confirmed, Leandro Damião, who was out of the victory over the Santa Cruz (3 to 0) due to the suspension, should be scaled as a starter. Felipe Vizeu, the scorer of one of Sunday’s goals, is left out as he serves the U20 team in preparation for an international tournament.
Who also returns of suspension is left-back Jorge. Titular absolute, recovering his vacancy leaving Chiquinho as an option in the reserve.
Flamengo is second in the Brasileirão with 57 points (17 wins, six draws and six losses). He is three points behind leaders Palmeiras, but even if he wins and the rival loses his match against Cruzeiro, to be held at the same time as the classic carioca, he should not take the lead. The balance of goals, which would be the tiebreaker criterion to be used, since there would be equality in the number of victories, is very favorable to the São Paulo team (25 to 14).
The one who is probably the best known classic of the national soccer had 52 editions in the Brasileirão between 1971 and 2016. The tricolor won 20. The Flamengo did better in 19 opportunities and happened 12 equalities. In the first round, with the game played in Natal, the red-black was beaten by 2 to 1.
Brazilian referee at the 2014 World Cup, Sandro Meira Ricci, part of the Fifa (International Football Federation) board and linked to the Federation of Santa Catarina, was the draw for the classic carioca. He has 123 appearances in Serie A of Brasileirão on his resume. It was 55.3% of constituents’ victories, 26% of ties and 18.7% of successes of the visitors. Displays, on average, five yellows per game and ejects two athletes in every five duels.
The Fluminense had Ricci in the refereeing of 15 matches. He won five of them (33.3%), tied for four (26.7%) and lost six (40%). Of those duels, six were at home, one win (16.7%), four draws (66.6%) and one defeat.
Flamengo has close use with the referee. In 16 matches, he won five (31.3%), drew six (37.4%) and lost five. There were nine visitors, with two wins (22.2%), four draws (44.5%) and three losses (33.3%).
The expectation is that the Fla-Flu (or Flu-Fla, in this case), has a very conservative beginning. The draw would not be a bad result for the tricolor in their fight to be among the top six placed. Probably the red-blacks will not go up either.
Flamengo RJ – Fluminense: Betting Tips
Flamengo RJ – Win Odds: 1.75
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 2.10