Hamburger SV – Hoffenheim : Preview & Prediction
Hamburger SV and Hoffenheim meet at the Volksparkstadion in a match for the 13th Bundesliga round. The history of direct matches played at this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, as there was 1 draw and 2 wins for each team in the last 5 games. However, in their last match at this stage, in a Bundesliga game, 08-04-2017, Hamburger SV won by (2-1). The goals of the game were scored by A. Hunt (25 ‘and 75’) for Hamburger SV and A. Kramarić (35 ‘) for Hoffenheim. Special attention is required for the home / away condition, as both teams present significantly different results in their home and away games.
The home team is currently in 15th place with 10 points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses. In the penultimate game, won at home against Stuttgart by (3-1). In the latter, he lost out against Schalke 04 by (2-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses as a visitor, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded. For the championship, Hamburger SV had 7 points in 18 chances, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 matches at their home stadium. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point as he has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games and his attack has not been very accurate since he did not score goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. The team have struggled to score first: they only opened the scoring in 3 of their last 12 games for the Bundesliga, of those 3 they reached the break in advantage in all and won in the late 90 ‘in all. In 12 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 8 times and never managed to return to the result.
Hamburg leave for this unmotivated game as a result of their 2-0 loss to Schalke 04, their seventh in the last nine games in the German league. As usual coach Markus Gisdol should play in 4-2-3-1 benefiting the defensive organization and the counterattacks, however, in some moments of the game must have some initiative in the meeting. It is important to point out that Jann-Fiete Arp is Hamburg’s top scorer with 2 goals conceded. Felipe, Edgar Prib and Uffe Bech are absent from the game due to injury.
After 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, the visiting team is in 6th place, having won 20 points. In the last game, they drew 1-1 with Eintracht Frankfurt at home (1-1), having won in the previous game in a game against Köln by (0-3). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with a total of 26 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats in his stadium, with a total of 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last game they played for the UEFA Europa League, they lost with Braga away (3-1). In the last 5 away games for the championship Hoffenheim recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, so he won 8 points out of 15. The team conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but its attack has marked with great regularity, since it has always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games for this competition. There is a tendency for goals to be scored in their away games as 39 of their 44 appearances have finished with over 1.5 goals. This is a team that does not usually feel difficult to open the scoring: it scored the first goal in 9 of the last 12 Bundesliga matches, 9 of them reached the interval in the lead in 5 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 4 .
The Hoffenheim team start on this day with a defeat at Braga by 3-1, adding the second straight game without winning in official matches. Despite playing out of doors, commander Julian Nagelsmann should enter the field with a more offensive strategy, with the lines advanced, exploiting to the best Hamburg’s defensive weaknesses. Mark Uth is Hoffenheim’s best finisher with 6 goals scored. It seems that Wagner, Kaderabek and Hubner are missing due to injury.
Hamburger SV – Hoffenheim : Betting Tips
Hamburger SV – Win Odds: 2.85
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70