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KuPS – AC Oulu Prediction (2021-06-30)

KuPS – AC Oulu : Preview & Prediction

KuPS and Oulu face off at Savon Sanomat Areena, in a match for the 12th round of Veikkausliiga. KuPS got an away win by (0‑2) the last time they met in this edition of the league, in 24‑06‑2021. The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the home team, which has 4 wins in the last 4 matches. In this match, the home factor can play an important role, as both teams have significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

After 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, having won 19 points. In the last match, they won in an away match against Oulu, by (0‑2), after having won at home, in a match against Honka, by (2‑1). This is a stronger team when they play at their stadium, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in away matches; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their stadium. For the championship, KuPS won 10 points out of a possible 15, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 games they played in their stadium.

In this competition, they have won the last 4 matches they played. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have only turned the score around in 1 in the 4 matches in which they conceded the first goal. There are 2 periods that stand out in the last 10 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 9 of their 22 goals between minutes (31’‑45′); conceded 3 of his 6 goals between minutes (31’‑45′).

The home team comes to this match motivated by a streak of four victories and hopes to add three points again in this match to have chances to reach the vice-leadership of Veikkausliiga. KuPS were the last to interrupt the title streak of defending champions Helsinki, by beating Veikkausliiga in 2019, and defeated their rival recently in the Finnish Cup 2021 final. As we can see, KuPS placed themselves as the main competitor of Helsinki in the search for titles, in recent years, and the expectation is that it starts a hunt for the leader. Perhaps it was exactly because of the Finnish Cup title, already in the middle of the Veikkausliiga dispute, the drop in KuPS’ performance in the current competition: there were only 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the first six rounds. However, the team soon refocused on Veikkausliiga and scored a four-game winning streak that earns them 3rd place on the leaderboard (2 points behind runners-up Inter Turku and 9 behind leader Helsinki). In the last round, KuPS had no major problems to beat AC Oulu by 2-0 and, therefore, the expectation is that they will reach the fifth consecutive victory in this match, as they face the same opponent, now playing at home.

The away team is currently in the 12th place, with 3 points won, after 1 win and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against KTP, by (1‑3). In the last match, they lost at home to KuPS, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results away than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in away matches, with a total of 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home, they won 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats, with a total of 20 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Oulu has won 4, tied 1 and lost 5. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 8 matches for this competition . There is a tendency to have goals in their away games, as 30 of the last 34 matches they played ended with Over 1.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first. In fact, they have failed to open the scoreboard in any of the last 8 games at Veikkausliiga. In 8 matches for this competition, they have only turned the score around in the 8 matches they have conceded the first goal. In the last 7 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46’‑60′); conceded 5 of his 13 goals between minutes (0’‑15′).

The visiting team comes unmotivated for this match after being defeated, in the last round, by the same opponent they will face now. In other words, if AC Oulu lost to their current opponent, KuPS, playing at home in the last round, they will hardly get a different score in this match, in which they face the same KuPS, but acting in enemy territory. It is worth mentioning that AC Oulu had won their first victory in this Veikkausliiga in the penultimate round, facing their main competitor in the fight against the lantern of the championship, the KTP (both teams won access to the elite of Finnish football last year and find it difficult to add points).

KuPS – AC Oulu : Betting Tips

KuPS – Win Odds: 1.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70