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Leeds – Watford Prediction (2021-10-02)

Leeds – Watford : Preview & Prediction

Leeds United and Watford play at Elland Road, in a match for the 7th round of the Premier League. There is no recent record of direct clashes between the two teams, who have not played any matches in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 20‑02‑2016, in a match that ended with the final score: Watford (1‑0) Leeds United. In this match, the home factor may have a decisive role, as Watford has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.

After 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, having won 3 points. In the last match, they lost at home against West Ham United, by (1‑2), after having tied in an away match against Newcastle United, by (1‑1). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, they have similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded, against 6 wins , 5 draws and 4 defeats at home, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Leeds United has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 6 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 12 of their 34 goals between minutes (76’‑90′).

Leeds United comes for this match after a defeat, by 1-2, against West Ham United, thus continuing without a win in this Premier League: the only goal of the team was signed by Raphinha. In this game against Watford, coach Marcelo Bielsa should play in 4-3-3 privileging the maintenance of ball possession and the attacks organized by the runners: Daniel James and Raphinha are responsible for causing panic in the opponent’s defensive line. For this match, the home coach is without Patrick Bamford, Robin Koch and Diego Llorente, players who are recovering from injury.

The away team is currently in the 11th place, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Norwich City, by (1‑3). In the last match, they tied at home against Newcastle United, by (1‑1). This is a stronger team when they play at their stadium, as in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their stadium. In the last 10 away matches Watford has won 3, tied 2 and lost 5. The team hasn’t been very strong defensively, as they have always conceded goals in the last 6 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, as in 21 of the last 28 they played there were less than 3 goals. In 11 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and never managed to turn the score around.

Watford starts this game with an equality, in 1×1, against Newcastle, thus adding the second straight game without losing in this competition: the only goal of the team was signed by Ismaïla Sarr. Coach Xisco usually outlines an offensive tactical system, aligned in 4-3-3, with Joshua King, Emmanuel Dennis and Ismaïla Sarr being the most offensive men on the team: the last athlete mentioned is Watford’s top scorer with 4 goals scored. For this game, the visiting coach has doubts about Kiko Femenía, João Pedro and Daniel Bachmann, all with physical problems.

Leeds – Watford : Betting Tips

Leeds – Win Odds: 2.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70