Libertad Asuncion – Penarol : Preview & Prediction
Libertad and Penarol are fighting at the Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz in a meeting for this phase of the Copa Libertadores (Group stage). There is only one recent direct showdown between these two teams, on 23-01-2016, which ended with Peñarol’s (5-4) win in the shoot-out through penalties. It is necessary to analyze with special attention the home / outside condition, because the Libertad presents different results at home and abroad.
The home team arrives at this 3rd round of Group 3 in 1st place, with 6 points won, after 2 wins. In their first game of this group stage won out against Atletico Tucumán by (0-2). On Matchday 2, he won at home against The Strongest for (3-0). This is a team that curiously has been stronger outside than at home, because in the last 30 games it registers 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in his stadium. The team arrives at this meeting after a home defeat with Sportivo Luqueño by (1-2). In the last 10 home games for all competitions Libertad won 4, drew 2 and lost 4. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games but their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 8 times and only managed 2 rounds.
Libertad goal is to close this group stage in first place, so at home it is very important that you can win all three points. In this journey the team has a very complicated duel ahead, but hopes to be able to play good football at home, to fulfill its objective. Last time the home club made a nice home win, it beat The Strongest 3-0.
Analysis of Penarol
After 1 victory and 1 defeat, the visiting team reaches this 3rd round in the 2nd position of Group 3, with 3 points won. On the previous day, won at home against Atletico Tucumán by (3-1), after in the first game of this group stage have lost by (1-0) away against The Strongest. This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside of its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 11 victories, 1 tie and 3 defeats as a visitor; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium. In the last game he played for the Primera División, he won the Phoenix off (0-3). In the last 10 games Peñarol has won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3. The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has been regular since achieved in 8 of the last 10 games. This is a team that scores often first: opened the scoring in 12 of their last 15 games, of those 12 reached the break in lead in 7 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 10. In the last 17 matches out for all competitions for the first time: he suffered 4 of his 9 goals in the minutes (61’-75 ‘).
Away from home, Penarol knows that he has a lot of difficulties because he plays against the leader of his group, but he is confident that he can achieve a good result even when he is away from home. In this journey the team needs to know how to execute a strong marking, not giving spaces to the hosts and at the same time looking for loopholes to explore the attack moves and try to consolidate the game. Last time, Peñarol won a home win against Atletico Tucumán by 3 x 1.
Libertad Asuncion – Penarol : Betting Tips
Libertad Asuncion – Win Odds: 2.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70
