Marseille – Caen Prediction (2017-11-05)

Marseille – Caen Prediction (2017-11-05)

Marseille – Caen : Preview & Prediction

Olympique de Marseille and Caen play at the Stade Vélodrome in a 12th round match of Ligue 1. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations favors the visiting team, which has 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 games. However, the last time they faced at this stadium was on 20-11-2016, in a match for Ligue 1 that ended the victory of Olympique de Marseille by (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by Rolando (81 ‘). In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

After 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in 4th place, having won 21 points. In the last match, they beat Lille off by (0-1), after having drawn from home in a game against Paris Saint Germain (2-2). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses as a visitor; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium. In the last game he played, for the Europa League, lost with Vitoria de Guimarães away by (1-0). In the last five home games for the championship, Olympique de Marseille have won 2, 2 draws and 1 defeat, having won 8 points out of 15.

In this competition, he has not lost any of his last 6 matches. His attack has been marked with great regularity, since he has always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games in this competition.

Olympique de Marseille continues to play well in the French Championship, and is now undefeated for six rounds away from another away win. At the time, the team did not have a great performance, being wrong many passes, had little possession of the ball and finished almost half of the opponent, but scored a goal early in the game, and then, showing defensive consistency, not allowed the owners of the house to draw. Looking at the numbers of the competition, we can see that it is the offensive sector that has been guaranteeing the good performance of the team, since it is the fourth best of the league, with an average of 1.90 goal per game. In contrast, his defense is one of the most leaked, adding seventeen goals conceded in eleven clashes. For this game, the coach is likely to keep the team in the 4-2-3-1, especially Thauvin in the offensive sector.

The visiting team is currently in 7th place with 18 points, after 6 wins and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, lost out to Monaco by (2-0). In the last match, won at home to Troyes by (1-0). This is a team that curiously has been stronger outside than at home, because in the last 30 games it registers 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in his stadium. In the last 5 away games for the championship the Caen has 2 wins and 3 defeats, having won 6 points in 15 possible. In their away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 27 of their last 43 matches finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 11 games in this competition, he never got around to scoring in the five games in which he conceded the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 20 matches played as a visitor for all competitions: he scored 8 of his 20 goals between minutes (31’-45 ‘).

Caen have been making a rather uneven campaign in the French championship, having seen them alternating between wins and losses, being the only club, along with Metz, who has yet to draw. Taking into account the championship numbers, it is clear that whoever has been guaranteeing Caen’s reasonably good placement in the table is the defensive sector, which is among the top four since it was not leaked in five of the eleven games he has played so far. If it depended on the attack, the situation of the club would be much worse, since in this question it is among the four worst. In the last round, the team played a very close match against Troyes, but they managed to finish double the opponents twice, and with the help of the defense, took the three points home. The coach should not have big embezzlements for this match, and probably will keep Da Silva as a reference in the defensive system.

Marseille – Caen : Betting Tips

Marseille – Win Odds: 1.45
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70