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Montpellier – Toulouse Prediction (2018-01-20)

Montpellier – Toulouse Prediction (2018-01-20)

Montpellier – Toulouse : Preview & Prediction

Montpellier and Toulouse play at the Stade de la Mosson in a match of the 22nd round of Ligue 1. In the last match between these teams in this competition on 12-08-2017, Toulouse won at home (1-0). At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 games. However, the last time they faced in this stage was in 02-04-2017, in a game for the Ligue 1 that finished with the victory of Toulouse by (0-1). The only goal of the match was scored by A. Delort (45 ‘). Although this is a game between 8th and 19th of the overall standings, it is actually a game between the 14th place in home games and the 19th as a visitor.
Analysis of Montpellier
The home team is currently in 8th place with 28 points, after 6 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied at home to Monaco by (0-0). In the last match, he tied for Amiens by (1-1). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it achieves practically the same points at home and away, having won 14 points in its stadium, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 14 points out, where he scored 8 goals and suffered 6. For the championship, Montpellier won 11 points out of 30, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games he played in his stadium. In matches played in their championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 ‘was 0-0, which occurred in 7 of their 11 matches. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 9 of his last 11 games in the competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 21 games in this competition, suffered the first goal 6 times and never managed to turn the score. In the last 11 home games in this competition there are 1 periods in the standings: he suffered 4 of his 8 goals between the minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Montpellier are still in a comfortable position within the French Championship, but they do not have their best moment in the competition as they have only one win in the last seven rounds. In their last showdown, the team played a balanced game against Amiens, and although they finished more than their opponents, they only drew a draw away from home. As it was possible to notice in this last round, the team has been highlighting the consistency of the defensive system, which is the least leaked of the championship, with fourteen goals conceded in twenty-one matches. However, the club leaves a little to be desired in possession of the ball, having the sixth worst average in this question. Playing at home, Montpellier won less than 50% of points, and in that condition scored only ten goals. The coach has been stirring frequently in the team’s tactical system, but must keep Skhiri as the benchmark in the offensive sector.
Analysis of Toulouse
The visiting team is currently in 19th place with 20 points, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost out to Saint Étienne by (2-0). In the last match, tied at home to Nantes by (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, having won 5 points as a visitor and 14 in their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 8 goals conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 22 suffered as a visitor. In the league, Toulouse won 5 points in 30 chances, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses in the last 10 games they played as a visitor.

For this competition, it registers a sequence of 5 defeats in the last games like visitor. In his league games as a visitor, the most frequent result in the break was 1-0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 21 games in this competition, only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 11 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Toulouse are going through a not very favorable moment in the French Championship, considering that it has not won four rounds, having accumulated three consecutive defeats in that period. However, in the last round the club at least scored again, in a balanced game against Nantes, where they missed a few passes and had more possession, but reached the draw only in the additions of the final stage. Based on the numbers of the competition, we can notice that the offensive sector has been one of the main responsible for the poor performance of the team, so much so that it is among the seven weakest in the championship. Another weak point of the club has been the lack of precision in the exchange of passes, which facilitates the work adversary. The 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 should be the scheme used in this duel by the coach, who will probably keep the Brazilian Somalia as a reference on the right side.

Montpellier – Toulouse : Betting Tips

Montpellier – Win Odds: 1.75
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70