An interesting meeting on this day of Saturday is the one that Numancia and Almeria will dispute for a new date of the League2.

To my knowledge, there is no clear favorite on this occasion, since the two teams are rough and irregular in their action. However, if we consider the local factor and the fact of playing before a direct rival, we advise to play a few euros to the simple triumph of Numancia. Remember that his rival, despite being harsh as a visitor, usually have defensive problems in this condition.

Take into account that Numancia comes from losing 3-2 to UCAM Murcia as a visitor, remaining with 17 points in the general table. The team cut a streak of 3 games without winning, being unable to get away from the direct decline. One detail to consider of his results is that he added 8 draws in 16 appearances. From there, in addition, reaped 3 triumphs and 5 defeats in total (19 goals in favor and 23 cedados in its fence).

On the other hand do not forget that the local box has added 3 wins, 3 equal and 2 drops in total, managing to score 10 goals and yield 9 on their fence. Coming from winning 2-1 to Valladolid, cutting a streak of several games without winning in local status (1-1 draw against Cordoba, defeat 1-2 against Sevilla Atletico and equal 2-2 against Elche).

Continuing with the analysis you must know that Almería equaled 0-0 against Valladolid playing away from home, being located a few points from the low (17th place with 18 units in total). It is a combative team and harsh in its actions, lacking more regularity to win two games in a row. His goal is to improve his defense, as he almost always gives a goal on his fence.

To finish we tell you that the “rojiblancos” have not won in 8 outings, product of 3 parities and 5 falls, showing serious failures in attack and defense (4 goals scored and 14 ceded on their fence). Before to have equaled against Valladolid, had lost 2-1 against Saragossa in the Romareda and 1-0 against Sevilla Athletic.

In front of this panorama I play for the victory of the local squad because of the following reasons: First because Numancia is a team needing points to be able to leave the uncomfortable zone of descent in which he is now. Second because the local team needs to improve their numbers as a local and their goal is to repeat what they did against Valladolid (win 2-1). And third because Almeria has had many problems to win playing away from home, demonstrating it by adding 3 draws and 5 losses in this condition. Given this reality, we believe that Numancia can win even if it is for a goal difference.

Our prediction:

UNDER 2,5 goals
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