Paraguay – Bolivia : Preview & Prediction
With only one point accumulated between these two teams after three rounds, Paraguay and Bolivia are in the bottom three of the CONMEBOL table and have a lot of work to do to make it to the 2026 World Cup. However, thanks to having a higher quota this time around, the hosts, who have yet to score a goal in this cycle (E1, P2), are just two points away from a playoff spot. That raises hopes that they can reach the top competition for the first time since their historic quarterfinal appearance in the 2010 edition.
Paraguay has a near-perfect all-time home record against Bolivia in World Cup qualifiers (G9, E1), although that lone draw came in the last cycle. Any hope of extending that dominance will depend on their effectiveness in front of goal, as the “Aurirrojos” are coming off a goalless draw against Peru in their last home game, which continued their offensive woes: they have failed to score in four of their five recent home World Cup qualifiers (G1, E2, P2).
Bolivia is stuck at the bottom of the table (P3) with three consecutive defeats and seems far from putting an end to its long absence at the World Cup, as its third and last appearance in the tournament dates back to 1994. Now, “La Verde” has accumulated seven consecutive defeats in qualifying matches, representing its worst streak in this century, painting a bleak picture for the visitors.
In fact, Bolivia has lost in its last seven away matches in the qualifiers and has conceded at least three goals in each defeat. This streak should not generate surprise for the visitors, as they have historically won just three of their 85 away qualifiers, losing an appalling 71 games.
Players to watch: Miguel Almiron has accumulated two goals for Newcastle in his last three games for the club. Another goal for him in this match could be key to his side’s victory, given that Paraguay have won five of the last six games in which he has been involved in the goals. Meanwhile, Bolivia’s all-time leading scorer (31) and most-capped player (104), Marcelo Moreno Martins, opened the scoring for his country in the 2-2 draw in this fixture during the last qualifying cycle.
Key statistic: Bolivia allowed the first goal of the match in its last ten World Cup qualifiers on rival soil.
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Paraguay – Bolivia : Betting Tips
Paraguay – Win Odds: 1.25
