RB Leipzig – Mainz : Preview & Prediction
RB Leipzig and Mainz play at the Red Bull Arena in a Bundesliga 15th round matchup. In the last 3 years, there have been only 2 direct clashes between these two teams: one on 05-04-2017, which ended with RB Leipzig’s (2-3) win and the most recent 6-11-2016, which ended RB Leipzig’s (3-1) win. In this match the house factor could play a decisive role, as Mainz has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.
Analysis of RB Leipzig
The home team is currently in 2nd place with 26 points earned after 8 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, won at home to Werder Bremen by (2-0). In the last match, lost out to Hoffenheim by (4-0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats as a visitor, with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded, against 8 victories , 3 draws and 4 defeats at home, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last game he played for the UEFA Champions League, he lost with Besiktas at home (1-2). In the last 6 home games for the championship, RB Leipzig have recorded 5 wins and 1 draw, having won 16 points out of 18.
For this competition, he records a 4-game winning streak in his last home games and has not lost any of the last 6 games in his stadium. In their domestic league matches the most frequent marker in the break was 1-0 (3 out of 6 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, but his attack has regularly scored as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 14 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 7 times but managed to turn the score in 3.
RB Leipzig have a chance to clinch their fifth consecutive win for the Bundesliga, compensating for the unsatisfactory results they have accumulated away from home, where they have not won for three games. In the last round, the team was much longer with the ball in the feet than the opponents, but left in both offensive and defensive terms, then thrashed Hoffenheim, who opened the scoring in the first stage, and scored three more times in the second half. The defense’s performance in this confrontation was an exception, since before that it was one of the least leaked of the competition. In contrast, the club is one of the most finalized in the league, also standing out in the good average of possession of ball. The 4-2-2-2 has been the standard formation used by the coach, who must keep Forsberg among the starting eleven.
Analysis of Mainz
The visiting team is currently in 14th place with 15 points earned after 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, lost out to Freiburg by (2-1). In the last match, lost at home to Augsburg by (1-3). This is a stronger team when they play in their stadium because in the last 30 games they have won 1, 6 draws and 8 losses; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in his stadium. In the last 6 games away from the championship, Mainz have 2 draws and 4 defeats, having won 2 points out of 18.
For this competition, you do not win as a visitor makes 6 games. In his league appearances as a visitor the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (3 out of 6 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 14 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 9 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard.
Mainz are not making a good campaign in this season’s Bundesliga, having won only one victory in the last six rounds, and have now come from two straight defeats. The last of them took place inside the home against Augsburg in a game where they did not have much offensive power, leaving to be desired also in the defense, that conceded three goals and allowed the victory of the opponent. As was evident in this confrontation, the team has been characterized by an inconsistent defensive system, which is now among the four most leaked of the competition. As a visitor, the club owns the fourth worst campaign, and in that condition scored only three goals in six games. It is likely that the coach will hold the team in 4-3-3 or 3-4-2-1, with Gbamin standing out in midfield.
RB Leipzig – Mainz : Betting Tips
RB Leipzig – Win Odds: 1.45
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70