Troyes – Guingamp : Preview & Prediction
Troyes and Guingamp face each other at the Stade de l’Aube in a match of the 16th round of Ligue 1. In the last 3 years there have been only 2 direct clashes between these two teams: one on 03-02-2016, which ended with Guingamp’s win by (4-0), and the most recent to 10-10-2015, which ended with Guingamp’s (0-1) win. In this match the house factor can play a decisive role, since Guingamp has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.
Analysis of Troyes
After 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in 13th place, having won 18 points. In the last match, they lost with Paris Saint Germain away by (2-0), after in the previous game to have won at home, in a match against Angers, by (3-0). This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside of its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in his stadium. For the championship, the Troyes won 11 points out of 24 possible, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last eight games at their stadium. In matches played in their championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 ‘was 0-0, which occurred in 4 of their 8 matches. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 15 games in this competition, suffered the first goal 6 times and never managed to turn the score. There are 1 highlights in the last 10 home games in all competitions: he scored 5 of his 10 goals between the minutes (46’-60 ‘).
Troyes have a chance to win their third consecutive win for the French Championship in order to make up for their defeats away from home. The last one of them gave to the strong Paris Saint Germain, in a game where it was dominated by the adversary and created very few chances, suffering then another setback. Based on the numbers of the competition, and it was clear in this last confrontation, it is possible to affirm that the offensive sector has been taking great responsibility in this unsatisfactory campaign of the team until then, since it did not balance the adversary network in five matches, being the second team that less finishes, also having the worst average ball possession, which makes it difficult to create opportunities. The coach is likely to set up the team at 4-1-4-1 or 4-2-3-1, with Herelle leading the way.
Analysis of Guingamp
After 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, the visiting team is in 16th place, having won 16 points. In the last match, they drew with Montpellier at home (0-0), after their previous match had lost out in a match against Olympique de Marseille (1-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 2 victories and 13 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 10 goals scored and 37 conceded. Already inside the home, won 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with a total of 16 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 7 away games, Guingamp recorded 1 win and 6 losses, having won 3 points out of 21.
In this competition, you have lost the last 6 games as a visitor. In his league games as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 1-0 (5 out of 7 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 9 games in which he conceded the first goal. In the last 8 away games for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: scored 3 of his 6 goals between minutes (61’-75 ‘).
Guingamp are struggling to start a reaction in the French championship, as they have not won for six rounds, scoring just one goal in the last four matches, thus revealing the inefficiency of the offensive sector. Looking at the numbers of the competition, it is possible to note that this has been, in fact, the sector with greater responsibility in the team’s poor campaign, since it did not take the zero of the score on five occasions, and is now among the worst seven. In their last clash, the team was slightly superior, showing defensive consistency and a midfield adjusted, but failed to take advantage of the few chances it had, thus embittering only a goalless draw against Montpellier. The coach often alternates the tactical scheme of the team, but must keep the Kerbrat defender between the initial eleven.
Troyes – Guingamp : Betting Tips
Troyes – Win Odds: 2.65
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70
