Uruguay – Brazil : Preview & Prediction
Uruguay vs. Brazil was a match first played in 1916 and, while steeped in history, recent meetings have been one-sided in favor of the latter, so the home side heads into this match looking to improve its 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign (G1, E1, P1). Uruguay have not beaten Brazil since 2001 (E3, P9), and new coach Marcelo Bielsa’s personal record against the Brazilians is not much better either (G2, P8).
Even home advantage did not seem to help La Celeste, as they lost their last three head-to-head meetings at home and conceded an average of 3.33 goals per game in that span. This is a good initial test to see what impact Bielsa’s methods are having, particularly as they have not lost at home since November 2021 (G6), and three of those wins came under the 68-year-old Argentine coach earlier this year.
Brazil unexpectedly drew their last match 1-1 with Venezuela, maintaining their unbeaten start to the knockout rounds (G2, E1). However, conceding late goals is becoming a liability, as the visitors’ draw on Friday means the five-time World Cup winners have conceded three times after the 75th minute in four international matches (G2, E1, P1), highlighting a potential weakness that Uruguay may look to exploit.
Having lost four of their last seven matches on foreign soil (G3), it is clear that the “Seleção” have not been performing well away from home of late, something Fernando Diniz, appointed on an interim basis in July, will look to address. That said, the last time Brazil lost a World Cup qualifier away from home was in October 2015 (G11, E7), so they remain a formidable force in South America.
Players to watch: Two of Real Madrid’s biggest stars will face off: Federico Valverde of Uruguay and Vinícius Júnior of Brazil. The former has just provided three assists in two games for Los Blancos, one of them to Vinícius, who scored two goals between the 25th and 65th minutes in those same two matches.
Key stat: Brazil has not conceded before halftime in an official match since October 2021 (MT: G7, E9).
Uruguay – Brazil : Betting Tips
Brazil – Win Odds: 2.25
