Velez Sarsfield – Rosario Central : Preview & Prediction
Vélez Sársfield and Rosario Central face off in the Estadio José Amalfitani, in a match of the 19th round of the Argentine Championship. The record of recent direct confrontations favors the home team, who in the last 7 matches won 4, drew 2 and lost 1. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 08-19-2017, ended with the victory of Rosario Central for (1-2). The home / away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between the 20th and 16th of the overall standings, this is in fact a confrontation between the 23rd in home games and 11th as a visitor.
Analysis of Vélez Sársfield
After 6 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in 20th place, having won 21 points. In the last match, they lost with Racing away by (2-1), after in the previous game to have won at home, in a match against River Plate, for (1-0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it achieves practically the same points at home and away, having won 12 points in its stadium, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded, against 9 points out, where it scored 7 goals and suffered 12. For the championship, Vélez Sársfield won 12 points in 24 chances, after 4 wins and 4 losses in the last 8 games he played in his stadium. In his home games there are some frequent scorers in the break: 0-0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0-1 (3 out of 8 matches). In 18 games in this competition, suffered the first goal 10 times and never managed to turn the score.
Vélez Sársfield has been campaigning much lower than expected in the Argentinian Championship where he is in the bottom half of the standings, going through a very bad phase with only 1 victory in the last 5 games he has played and he has to find his best football to continue dreaming of a place in the next World Cup South American. The team has problems both in the offensive and defensive systems, having scored only 14 goals, being the fifth worst attack among the 28 Superliga players, and conceded 21 goals, with the 11th most-leaked defender. Vélez Sársfield is playing at home this Sunday, alternating good and bad results, so much so that from his last 6 games he has won 3 wins and 3 losses, he is the fourth team to have scored the most goals as a club with only 7 goals in 8 games and it is worth mentioning that 7 of his last 9 games in his stadium occurred, at most, 2 goals on the scoreboard. For the confrontation before the central Rosario, coach Gabriel Heinze will not be able to count on the sides De La Fuente and Cufré, both by suspension account.
Analysis of the Central Rosary
After 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 16th place, having won 24 points. In the last match, he lost with Godoy Cruz at home (1-2), after his previous match drew away in a game against Lanús by (1-1). This is a team little affected by the house factor, since it has achieved similar results at home and abroad. In the championship, the Rosario Central won 11 points in 27 possible, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the last 9 games they played as a visitor. In his league games as a visitor the most frequent result at the end of the game was 1-1 (5 out of 9 matches). His attack has scored regularly, as he has scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 games for this competition. In their away games there is a tendency to have goals, since 8 of their last 9 games by the competition finished with More than 1.5 goals. In 18 games in this competition, he never managed to get back on the scoreboard in the 7 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 12 matches played as a visitor for all competitions: he scored 5 of his 14 goals in the minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The Rosario Central has been campaigning median where it appears in the middle zone of the qualifying table, after a sequence of 3 wins comes from 2 games without winning and is looking for recovery to try a place in the next South American Cup, being 4 points this area. The team has a reasonable attack that has scored 21 goals and is the seventh best of the Superliga, while the defense suffered 22 goals and is the ninth most leaked, showing the imbalance between the two sectors, something that needs to be corrected for the rest of the competition. Playing away from home, such as this Sunday’s match, Rosario Central have lost only 1 of their last 6 games and it is worth mentioning that it is the second team that makes more goals in the condition of visitor with 11 goals in 9 matches. For the confrontation against Vélez Sársfield, the coach Leonardo Fernández will not be able to count on the defender Tobio by account of suspension.
Velez Sarsfield – Rosario Central : Betting Tips
Velez Sarsfield – Win Odds: 2.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70